Stunning Shift in War Strategy, In Its Sixth Year, Yemen from Steadfastness to Confrontation

Local Editor

There is no change in the Saudi mentality to end the war in Yemen from what it was in the beginning of the campaign five years ago (March 25, 2015), in what was called the Operation Decisive Storm.

Their mentality is based on supremacy and domination, far from the goals of wars and strategy-making, which is still valid, despite five years of futility.

The decision-makers in Al-Yamamah Palace in Riyadh linked their fate to the outcome of the war, however they are at the beginning of the sixth year, with not that many options.

There are two options: The first is to continue the war. This means more Saudi exhaustion, with no prospect of victory. This also means a direct threat to the Saudi lands with political, economical and external consequences on the entire regime.

The second option is ending the war through a political settlement. This, too, will have major repercussions, because any settlement will be as a result of political and military failure. And this settlement, if it takes place, means a victory of Sana'a. Accordingly, the latter will impose its provisions on the negotiating table. The most important provision is the refusal to undermine Yemen's national sovereignty.

The United Nations, through its envoy to Yemen Martin Griffiths, is searching for temporary solutions such as those that were imposed in Al-Hodiedah governorate, by Stockholm agreement.

Griffiths tried to repeat that experience in Marib, but his efforts were unsuccessful due to the Saudi refusal to lift the siege on Yemen, and its rejection to share oil wealth and re-feed the electrical energy with the "Supreme Political Council" in Sana'a.

What is certain is that the decision for ending the war is by Washington, which still sees its interest at the continuation of war, especially in the field of arms sales to Saudi Arabia, and weakening Yemen and removing it from the axis of resistance.

Source: Al-Masirah, Edited by Website Team